eBay Inc. Just Recorded A 54% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

eBay Inc. 0.00%

eBay Inc.

EBAY

63.62

0.00%

Shareholders might have noticed that eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 7.9% to US$58.11 in the past week. Revenues were US$2.6b, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$1.29, an impressive 54% ahead of estimates. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on eBay after the latest results.

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NasdaqGS:EBAY Earnings and Revenue Growth November 2nd 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from eBay's 29 analysts is for revenues of US$10.6b in 2025. This would reflect an okay 3.4% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to drop 11% to US$3.75 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$10.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.76 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$61.22. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values eBay at US$72.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$50.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that eBay's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 2.7% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 4.1% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than eBay.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that eBay's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$61.22, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for eBay going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You should always think about risks though.

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