Even With A 35% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Local Bounti Corporation's (NYSE:LOCL) Performance Completely
Local Bounti Corporation Common Stock LOCL | 1.98 1.98 | -5.71% 0.00% Pre |
Those holding Local Bounti Corporation (NYSE:LOCL) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 35% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.8% isn't as impressive.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Local Bounti's P/S ratio of 0.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Food industry in the United States is also close to 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Local Bounti Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Local Bounti has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Local Bounti will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
Local Bounti's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 28% gain to the company's top line. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 61% each year as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 2.8% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Local Bounti is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Local Bounti appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Local Bounti currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 6 warning signs with Local Bounti (at least 3 which can't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.