Mission Produce Q2 revenue falls amid lower avocado prices

Mission Produce

Mission Produce

AVO

0.00


Overview

  • U.S. avocado distributor's fiscal Q2 revenue fell 24% on lower prices, despite higher volumes

  • Adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA declined yr/yr, pressured by margin compression and low prices

  • Company completed Calavo Growers acquisition and authorized $100 mln share buyback program


Outlook

  • Mission Produce expects Q3 adjusted EBITDA of $28-$32 mln, including Calavo partial quarter contribution

  • Company sees second-half 2026 adjusted EBITDA at $84-$88 mln, with full Calavo contribution in Q4

  • Mission Produce expects full-year 2026 capital expenditures of about $45 mln, including Calavo-related spending


Result Drivers

  • LOW AVOCADO PRICES - Revenue and margins were pressured by a 36% drop in per-unit avocado sales prices, despite higher volumes

  • SUPPLY-DEMAND MISMATCH - Margin compression in April resulted from a temporary mismatch between Mexican supply of core fruit sizes and customer demand, and delays in California and Peru harvests increased sourcing costs

  • HIGHER MANGO COSTS AND LOWER BLUEBERRY VOLUMES - International Farming segment results were hurt by higher per-unit mango production costs and reduced blueberry packing and storage service volumes


Company press release: ID:nGNX4qLtmh


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Beat

$290.90 mln

$274.40 mln (2 Analysts)

Q2 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$0.01

$0.06 (2 Analysts)

Q2 EPS

-$0.10

Q2 Adjusted Net Income

Miss

$800,000

$3.20 mln (1 Analyst)

Q2 Net Income

-$7.20 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

$7.10 mln

$15.95 mln (2 Analysts)

Q2 Gross Profit

$20.50 mln

Q2 Pretax Profit

-$8.70 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 3 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the fishing & farming peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Mission Produce Inc is $17.00, about 66.3% above its June 5 closing price of $10.22

  • The stock recently traded at 15 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 20 three months ago


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