Pinning Down Domino's Pizza, Inc.'s (NYSE:DPZ) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
Domino's Pizza, Inc. DPZ | 459.59 | -1.25% |
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.5x Domino's Pizza, Inc. (NYSE:DPZ) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times have been advantageous for Domino's Pizza as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Domino's Pizza will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Domino's Pizza's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 12% last year. EPS has also lifted 24% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.5% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Domino's Pizza's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Domino's Pizza's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Domino's Pizza currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware Domino's Pizza is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those can't be ignored.
If you're unsure about the strength of Domino's Pizza's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.