The three-year loss for DigitalBridge Group (NYSE:DBRG) shareholders likely driven by its shrinking earnings

DigitalBridge Group INC +0.53%

DigitalBridge Group INC

DBRG

11.28

+0.53%

The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But long term DigitalBridge Group, Inc. (NYSE:DBRG) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 63% drop in the share price over that period. And over the last year the share price fell 36%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 25% in the last three months.

While the last three years has been tough for DigitalBridge Group shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the three years that the share price fell, DigitalBridge Group's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 28% each year. So do you think it's a coincidence that the share price has dropped 28% per year, a very similar rate to the EPS? We don't. So it seems like sentiment towards the stock hasn't changed all that much over time. In this case, it seems that the EPS is guiding the share price.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:DBRG Earnings Per Share Growth January 2nd 2025

This free interactive report on DigitalBridge Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

Investors in DigitalBridge Group had a tough year, with a total loss of 35% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 26%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance.

We will like DigitalBridge Group better if we see some big insider buys.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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