VICI Properties raises 2026 AFFO forecast

VICI Properties

VICI Properties

VICI

0.00


Overview

  • U.S. experiential REIT's Q1 revenue grew 3.5% yr/yr but missed analyst expectations

  • AFFO per share rose 4.5% yr/yr to $0.61 in Q1

  • Company raised full-year 2026 AFFO guidance and announced $1.5 bln mezzanine loan investment


Outlook

  • VICI raises 2026 AFFO guidance to $2,665 mln-$2,695 mln, or $2.44-$2.47 per share

  • Guidance excludes impact from pending acquisitions without announced closing dates or other non-recurring transactions

  • Company expects continued growth as it closes pending transactions and expands partner-driven model


Result Drivers

  • CECL ALLOWANCE IMPACT - Co said year-over-year increase in net income and FFO was driven by a $305.7 mln aggregate change in the CECL allowance

  • INVESTMENT ACTIVITY - Co cited expansion of strategic relationships and new investments, including $1.5 bln mezzanine loan for One Beverly Hills and pending Canadian casino acquisition, as drivers of growth

  • AFFO GROWTH - Co said AFFO per share rose 4.5% yr/yr, reflecting continued compounding of its business model


Company press release: ID:nBwcbHg6na


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q1 Revenue

Miss

$1 bln

$1.02 bln (11 Analysts)

Q1 AFFO Per Share

$0.61

Q1 Dividend

$0.45


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 18 "strong buy" or "buy", 7 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the specialized reits peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for VICI Properties Inc is $34.00, about 18.7% above its April 28 closing price of $28.65

  • The stock recently traded at 10 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 10 three months ago


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