Investors in Aramark (NYSE:ARMK) have unfortunately lost 4.7% over the last year

Aramark +2.15%

Aramark

ARMK

31.87

+2.15%

Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. Active investors aim to buy stocks that vastly outperform the market - but in the process, they risk under-performance. Investors in Aramark (NYSE:ARMK) have tasted that bitter downside in the last year, as the share price dropped 32%. That contrasts poorly with the market return of 26%. Even if shareholders bought some time ago, they wouldn't be particularly happy: the stock is down 27% in three years. Furthermore, it's down 19% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

Check out our latest analysis for Aramark

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Aramark share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 243%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.

With a low yield of 1.4% we doubt that the dividend influences the share price much. Aramark's revenue is actually up 16% over the last year. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:ARMK Earnings and Revenue Growth December 30th 2023

Aramark is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Aramark will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Aramark the TSR over the last 1 year was -4.7%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Investors in Aramark had a tough year, with a total loss of 4.7% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 26%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Aramark better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Aramark (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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