Full year 2025 results shift Minerals Technologies into a loss

Minerals Technologies (MTX) reported full year 2025 results that may give investors pause, with sales of US$2,072.6 million, down from US$2,118.5 million, and a net loss of US$18.4 million replacing the prior year’s profit.

Despite the swing into a loss, Minerals Technologies’ recent pricing suggests improving sentiment, with a 30 day share price return of 10.07% and a 90 day share price return of 28.56%, while the 1 year total shareholder return is roughly flat.

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With the shares up strongly over the past quarter and trading below the average analyst price target and an indicated intrinsic value, the key question is whether Minerals Technologies is still mispriced or if the market already reflects any future recovery.

Most Popular Narrative: 13.2% Undervalued

Minerals Technologies last closed at $72.92, while the most followed narrative suggests a fair value of $84, which points to a meaningful valuation gap built on detailed long term forecasts.

Ongoing investments in capacity expansions for high growth, sustainable products (e.g., sustainable aviation fuel purification, animal health solutions, fabric care, and pet litter in Asia) are positioned to benefit from global population growth, urbanization, and heightened sustainability demand, directly supporting revenue growth and above average margin expansion.

Curious what kind of revenue path and margin rebuild could justify that fair value? The narrative leans heavily on a sharp earnings ramp and a much lower future profit multiple than today. The full story is in how those two assumptions work together.

Result: Fair Value of $84 (UNDERVALUED)

However, the story could change quickly if secular pressure in North American and European paper markets persists, or if talc litigation results in sizeable, unexpected costs.

Build Your Own Minerals Technologies Narrative

If you see the numbers differently or want to stress test your own assumptions, you can build a personalized Minerals Technologies view in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Minerals Technologies.

Looking for more investment ideas?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.