CrossAmerica Partners (CAPL) One Off Gain Raises Questions On Earnings Durability

CrossAmerica Partners LP +2.84%

CrossAmerica Partners LP

CAPL

22.47

+2.84%

CrossAmerica Partners (CAPL) has wrapped up FY 2025 with fourth quarter revenue of US$1.1b and basic EPS of US$0.32, alongside trailing 12 month EPS of US$1.10 on revenue of US$3.7b that includes a large one off gain of US$44.2m. Over recent quarters, revenue has moved from US$861.6m in Q4 2024 to US$1.1b in Q4 2025 while quarterly EPS has ranged from a loss of US$0.20 in Q1 2025 to a high of US$0.64 in Q2 2025. This sets up a picture where higher trailing earnings sit next to slim net margins of 1.1% that leave investors weighing how durable the current profitability really is.

See our full analysis for CrossAmerica Partners.

With the latest numbers on the table, the next step is to line them up against the main stories around CrossAmerica Partners to see which narratives the results support and which they call into question.

NYSE:CAPL Earnings & Revenue History as at Feb 2026
NYSE:CAPL Earnings & Revenue History as at Feb 2026

Net Margin Sits At 1.1% Despite Big One Off Boost

  • Over the last 12 months, CrossAmerica Partners converted US$3.7b of revenue into US$41.8 million of net income, which works out to a 1.1% net margin compared with 0.5% in the prior year. That margin is heavily influenced by a US$44.2 million one off gain included in the trailing figures.
  • What is interesting for a more bearish view is that this thin 1.1% margin, even after a very large one time gain, lines up with concerns about earnings durability, as:
    • Reported earnings rose very strongly year over year, but that rise is tied to the US$44.2 million gain rather than a big shift in underlying fuel or retail profitability.
    • Without repeating the one off, the prior year’s 0.5% margin underlines how little room there is for error when fuel and retail spreads move against the business.

Revenue Forecast To Decline Around 7.9% A Year

  • Analysts in the dataset expect revenue to decline about 7.9% per year and earnings to decline roughly 29.2% per year over the next three years, even though trailing 12 month net income sits at US$41.8 million on US$3.7b of sales.
  • Critics highlight these projected declines as a bearish signal and the current numbers give that view some backing, because:
    • Quarterly sales moved between US$789.1 million and US$1.1b over the last six reported quarters, and the forecast points to a step down rather than a continuation of that recent scale.
    • EPS swung from a loss of US$0.20 in Q1 2025 to a high of US$0.64 in Q2 2025, then back to US$0.32 in Q4 2025, which fits a story where future earnings might be more fragile than the trailing 12 month total suggests.
If those projected revenue and earnings declines are on your mind, it is worth seeing how other investors frame the full story for CrossAmerica Partners: 📊 Read the what the Community is saying about CrossAmerica Partners.

Valuation Gap And Income Strain At 10.36% Yield

  • The units trade at US$20.27 with a trailing P/E of 18.5x versus an industry average near 14x. The provided DCF fair value is US$64.85 and the indicated dividend yield is about 10.36%, even though that payout is not covered by earnings or free cash flow and shareholders’ equity is reported as negative.
  • What stands out to income focused bears is how these figures pull in different directions:
    • The DCF fair value of US$64.85 is a little more than 3x the current US$20.27 price. This suggests a large modelled upside even as the market assigns a premium P/E multiple to a business facing forecast earnings declines.
    • At the same time, weak interest coverage, a dividend that is not covered by current earnings and negative equity all sit uneasily next to that 10.36% yield. This is exactly the type of tension cautious investors often focus on when they worry about future distribution risk.

Next Steps

Don't just look at this quarter; the real story is in the long-term trend. We've done an in-depth analysis on CrossAmerica Partners's growth and its valuation to see if today's price is a bargain. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio now so you don't miss the next big move.

Mixed feelings after reading all this? If you want to move quickly and form your own view, it helps to weigh both sides in our 2 key rewards and 5 important warning signs.

Explore Alternatives

Thin 1.1% net margins helped by a one off gain, forecast earnings declines, negative equity and an uncovered 10.36% yield all raise questions about resilience.

If that mix of fragile profitability and balance sheet strain feels uncomfortable, shift your focus toward solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (41 results) to quickly find companies where financial strength may better support long term income goals.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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