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Investor Optimism Abounds McGrath RentCorp (NASDAQ:MGRC) But Growth Is Lacking
McGrath RentCorp MGRC | 112.77 | -0.97% |
It's not a stretch to say that McGrath RentCorp's (NASDAQ:MGRC) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United States, where the median P/E ratio is around 19x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, McGrath RentCorp's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like McGrath RentCorp's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 35%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 49% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 9.6% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 16% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that McGrath RentCorp is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From McGrath RentCorp's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of McGrath RentCorp's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on McGrath RentCorp, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


