Abacus Global Q1 adjusted core profit misses estimates

Abacus Global Management, Inc. Class A

Abacus Global Management, Inc. Class A

ABX

0.00


Overview

  • US alternative asset manager's Q1 adjusted EBITDA grew 33% yr/yr, missing analyst expectations

  • Adjusted net income for Q1 rose 17% yr/yr; company raised full-year 2026 guidance

  • Board approved $20 mln share buyback in January


Outlook

  • Abacus raises full-year 2026 adjusted net income guidance to $100–$106 mln

  • Company issues Q2 adjusted net income guidance of $24–$26 mln

  • Abacus expects full-year 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.00–$1.05


Result Drivers

  • AUM GROWTH - Gross assets under management reached $3.6 bln, with longevity income fund AUM nearly quadrupling yr/yr to about $1 bln, driven by strong capital inflows

  • CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT - Origination capital deployment rose 30% yr/yr to $163.6 mln, supporting portfolio growth

  • INSTITUTIONAL DEMAND - Co said institutional demand for mortality-driven, uncorrelated assets supported results amid current macro environment


Company press release: ID:nGNX9kjHWM


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q1 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

$32.7 mln

$33.50 mln (4 Analysts)


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 5 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the multiline insurance & brokers peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Abacus Global Management Inc is $13.75, about 45.7% above its May 6 closing price of $9.44

  • The stock recently traded at 9 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 8 three months ago


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