BRIEF-ANZ Sees Brent Crude Oil To End Q2 2026 At $80/Bbl
June 19 (Reuters) - ANZ:
SEES BRENT CRUDE TO END Q2 AT $80/BBL, EXPECTS OIL PRICES TO REMAIN UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE
SAYS THE REOPENING OF THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL ALLEVIATE THE IMMEDIATE SUPPLY SHOCK, BUT IT WON’T RESTORE BALANCE TO THE OIL MARKET
SAYS PHYSICAL BALANCES WILL REMAIN TIGHT, INVENTORY REBUILDING WILL BE SLOW AND A GEOPOLITICAL RISK PREMIUM WILL LIKELY PERSIST
SAYS FINANCIAL MARKETS WILL PRICE A QUICK REOPENING, BUT PHYSICAL FLOWS ARE CONSTRAINED BY TANKER BACKLOGS, DAMAGED INFRASTRUCTURE AND PRODUCTION SHUT-INS
SAYS INVENTORIES REMAIN CRITICAL, EVEN POST‑DEAL, THE GLOBAL MARKET WILL RELY HEAVILY ON STOCK DRAWDOWNS AS FLOWS NORMALISE
SAYS LASTING IMPACT OF DEPLETED INVENTORIES, INCOMPLETE SUPPLY RECOVERY SHOULD SEE PRICES RECOVER SOME OF THESE LOSSES IN Q3
