CEE MARKETS-Currencies retreat with Middle East conflict and data in focus

P10, INC.

P10, INC.

PX

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- Central European currencies eased on Thursday morning, after late gains on Wednesday on optimism that the Middle East conflict could soon be resolved, while investors in Poland eyed local economic data.

"Yesterday afternoon, the Hungarian forint started to strengthen due to some optimism surrounding the situation in Iran, but we are still hovering close to the decisive level of 360," brokerage Equilor said in a note.

The war in Iran , which began with U.S. and Israeli air strikes on February 28, has lifted energy prices and fuelled inflation concerns across Europe, including in Central Europe's emerging economies. President Donald Trump on Wednesday said the United States was ready to proceed with further attacks if Iran did not agree to a peace deal, but suggested Washington could wait a few days to "get the right answers."

The forint EURHUF= eased 0.2% to 360.60 to the euro, and stayed close to the 360 level. It has retreated slowly since hitting a high of 353.95 on May 8 after a change in government in Hungary which boosted investor sentiment.

Investors hope the new centre-right government of Prime Minister Peter Magyar can unlock EU funds held up in past disputes with Brussels. This has fuelled fund flows into the forint and Hungarian bonds.

The Polish zloty EURPLN= was also down slightly at 4.251 to the euro and the Czech crown EURCZK= a touch lower at 24.318 per euro.

Polish bank PKO BP analysts said domestic investors would focus on April data from the Polish economy, "which will indicate, among other things, the impact of high fuel and energy prices on industrial conditions."

Wage growth in Poland was lower than expected in April, the statistics office data showed, with analysts saying this signalled that there is currently no risk of sustained inflation despite the shock to fuel prices caused by the war in the Middle East.

The statistics office data also showed that industrial output rose less than expected.

Stock markets in central Europe were mixed, with Warsaw .WIG20 falling.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 0931 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

EURCZK=

24.3180

24.2960

-0.09%

-0.62%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

360.6000

359.8000

-0.22%

+6.59%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2510

4.2450

-0.14%

-0.83%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

5.2470

5.2400

-0.13%

-2.91%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.3000

117.4000

+0.09%

+0.00%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Prague

.PX

2574.21

2563.9900

+0.40%

-4.15%

Budapest

.BUX

131452.98

131460.20

-0.01%

+18.39%

Warsaw

.WIG20

3573.54

3610.70

-1.03%

+12.23%

Bucharest

.BETI

30779.13

30658.63

+0.39%

+25.94%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

4.1900

-0.0120

+155bps

-1bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

4.5840

-0.0130

+180bps

+0bps

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

5.0060

-0.0200

+192bps

-1bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.6350

-0.0700

+199bps

-7bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.5150

-0.0450

+274bps

-3bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.9570

0.0180

+287bps

+3bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

3.83

4.22

4.43

3.56

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

4.06

4.43

4.73

3.85

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices