Exelon (EXC) Margins Hold Near 11% In Q1 2026 Testing Valuation Narratives
Exelon Corporation EXC | 0.00 |
Exelon (EXC) opened 2026 with Q1 revenue of US$7.2b and net income of US$919m, translating to basic EPS of US$0.90, while the trailing twelve months show revenue of US$24.8b and EPS of US$2.72. Over the past six reported quarters, revenue has moved between US$5.4b and US$7.2b per quarter and quarterly EPS has ranged from US$0.39 to US$0.90. This gives investors a clear view of how the top line and earnings have tracked together. With trailing net profit margins only slightly softer than a year ago, the focus this quarter is on how well those margins hold up as growth expectations cool.
See our full analysis for Exelon.With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to set these results against the major narratives around Exelon to see which views the latest margins support and which they call into question.
EPS swings highlight seasonality
- Basic EPS moved between US$0.39 and US$0.90 over the last six quarters, with Q1 2026 at about US$0.90 again, while trailing twelve month EPS sits at US$2.72.
- Analysts' consensus view links this kind of EPS pattern to Exelon’s project and rate cycle, suggesting:
- Large infrastructure programs and regulatory timing can make individual quarters look stronger or weaker. This is occurring even when trailing EPS stays in a tight band between US$2.45 and US$2.80 over the last six reported trailing periods.
- This helps explain why the consensus still talks about stable earnings growth potential, even though one year earnings growth of 2.5% is below the 12.5% five year average.
Margins steady near 11%
- Net profit over the last twelve months was US$2.8b on US$24.8b of revenue, implying a margin of about 11.2%, only slightly different from the 11.4% cited a year earlier.
- Bullish investors argue that strong reliability and regulatory alignment can support margin resilience, and the numbers partly line up with that:
- Revenue over the trailing twelve months has hovered around US$23.0b to US$24.8b while net income stayed between roughly US$2.5b and US$2.8b. This fits the idea of relatively stable margin performance.
- At the same time, interest payments are flagged as not well covered by earnings and the dividend is not well covered by free cash flow. This is a direct counterpoint to the bullish focus on durable profitability.
Valuation tension at US$45.02
- At a share price of US$45.02, Exelon trades on a P/E of 16.6x, below the US Electric Utilities industry average of 21.9x and the US market at 19.3x, yet sits above a DCF fair value of about US$18.05.
- Bears focus on this valuation gap and the cash flow risks around it, pointing to:
- The share price being well above the DCF fair value while dividend coverage by free cash flow is described as weak. They see this as a sign that cash generation needs to stay strong to justify the current multiple.
- Interest expense not being well covered by earnings, which they view as an added pressure point if earnings growth continues closer to the recent 2.5% year on year pace rather than the 12.5% five year rate.
Next Steps
To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Exelon on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.
This mix of risks and rewards can feel finely balanced, so check the underlying data for yourself and decide where you stand with Exelon by reviewing the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs.
See What Else Is Out There
Exelon’s weak coverage of interest and dividends by earnings and free cash flow, alongside a share price above DCF fair value, leaves income and valuation risk on the table.
If you want stocks where payouts and balance sheets look sturdier, check out the 12 dividend fortresses today and compare their income profile with Exelon.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
