Federal Home Loan Mortgage (FMCC) Could Be 64% Undervalued On Stronger 2026 Earnings
FEDERAL HOME LOAN MORTGAGE CORP FMCC | 0.00 |
Earnings jump puts Federal Home Loan Mortgage stock back in focus
Federal Home Loan Mortgage (FMCC) drew fresh attention after reporting Q2 2026 net income of US$3,838 million, compared with US$2,387 million a year earlier, alongside stronger first half figures.
The company also reported net income of US$7,396 million for the first six months of 2026, compared with US$5,181 million in the same period of 2025, which gives investors updated insight into its recent profitability.
Despite the stronger Q2 2026 earnings, Federal Home Loan Mortgage’s share price has been under pressure, with a 30 day share price return down 10.64% and a year to date share price return down 48.89%. However, the three year total shareholder return is very large at around 10x, which points to strong longer term gains even after the recent pullback.
If you are reassessing opportunities after this earnings move, it could be a good moment to look at companies linked to the wider financing and infrastructure theme through 37 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks
After a sharp pullback despite stronger recent results, Federal Home Loan Mortgage now sits in a very different spot from three years ago. Does buying the stock after this drop still compare more favorably than waiting for an even cheaper entry?
Most Popular Narrative: 64% Undervalued
The most followed narrative values Federal Home Loan Mortgage at $14.70 per share, which sits well above the last close of $5.29 and highlights a wide valuation gap.
Mission driven affordable housing exposure, including the majority of financed units affordable to households at or below 120% of area median income and 66% of multifamily new business labeled as mission driven affordable, aligns Freddie Mac with long run housing affordability initiatives that can support consistent loan volumes and revenue generation.
This narrative focuses on steady loan volumes, gradual revenue expansion and a shift in margins that push earnings toward break even. It raises the question of which specific long term assumptions need to hold for that fair value to be supported.
Result: Fair Value of $14.70 (UNDERVALUED)
However, this Federal Home Loan Mortgage narrative can break if refinance volumes weaken with higher rates or if house price assumptions result in fresh credit reserve builds.
Next Steps
With both risks and rewards in play for Federal Home Loan Mortgage, this is a moment to move quickly, review the details and shape your own view with 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
Looking for more investment ideas beyond Federal Home Loan Mortgage?
If you are rethinking your watchlist after Federal Home Loan Mortgage’s latest results, this is the moment to scan for other opportunities before the market moves on.
- Spot potential bargains early by reviewing companies that currently screen as attractively priced with stronger quality markers through 51 high quality undervalued stocks.
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- Protect your capital by concentrating on companies that currently show sturdier balance sheets and fundamentals through the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (48 results).
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
