Forrester sees global tech sovereignty edging up to 40% by 2030, US and China stay atop rankings

Forrester Research, Inc.

Forrester Research, Inc.

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  • Forrester forecast global technology sovereignty to inch up to 40% by 2030 from 39% in 2025 across 14 countries.
  • China, US projected to keep the highest scores at 82% and 79%, leaving most others reliant on alliances to close gaps.
  • Semiconductor manufacturing seen as the fastest-improving dimension; US, South Korea chip production scores forecast to rise to 79% by 2030 from 45%.
  • Japan chip score expected to increase to 53% from 36%; China to 51% from 40%; India to 13% from 0%.
  • Semiconductors, software remain major sovereignty constraints due to concentrated chip supply chains, dominance by a small set of software providers.


Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Forrester Research Inc. published the original content used to generate this news brief on July 16, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.