GCI Liberty (GLIB.A) Earnings Collapse To US$387 Million Loss Tests Bullish Narratives
GCI Liberty (GLIB.A) has just posted a tough third quarter for FY 2025, with revenue of US$257 million alongside a basic EPS loss of US$13.34 and a net loss of US$387 million, setting a cautious tone around profitability. Over the past few quarters, the company has seen revenue move around the US$260 million mark, from US$262 million in Q3 2024 to US$266 million in Q1 2025 and US$261 million in Q2 2025. Basic EPS shifted from US$0.72 in Q3 2024 to US$1.22 in Q1 2025 and US$0.94 in Q2 2025 before swinging sharply into loss this quarter, leaving investors focused squarely on how durable the underlying margins really are.
See our full analysis for GCI Liberty.With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to see how these results stack up against the widely followed narratives around GCI Liberty's profit path and risk reward profile, and where those stories might need a rethink.
LTM swings from US$99 million profit to US$309 million loss
- On a trailing twelve month basis, net income moved from a profit of US$99 million at Q2 2025 to a loss of US$309 million at Q3 2025, while revenue stayed close to US$1.0b over that span.
- What stands out for the bullish narrative is that, even with this LTM loss, the data still points to multi year loss reduction averaging 78.5% per year and forecasts that earnings turn positive within three years. This sits in clear tension with the recent swing from US$99 million profit to a US$309 million loss.
- Supporters highlighting that losses have reduced over five years need to reconcile that view with Basic EPS moving from US$3.45 LTM at Q2 2025 to a loss of US$10.77 LTM at Q3 2025.
- At the same time, total LTM revenue only shifted from US$1.05b at Q2 2025 to US$1.05b at Q3 2025, so the change in profitability is not paired with a major move in the top line in the provided data.
Bulls argue the recent setback could be temporary, but this jump from a US$99 million profit to a US$309 million loss is exactly the kind of swing they need to explain clearly before the optimistic story feels comfortable for new investors. 🐂 GCI Liberty Bull Case
P/S of 1.4x versus 1.1x peers
- The shares trade on a P/S of 1.4x compared with 1.1x for both the US Telecom industry and the peer group, so the stock is priced above those P/S benchmarks while the latest LTM data shows a loss of US$309 million.
- Critics who lean bearish point to that premium P/S multiple alongside unprofitable LTM earnings as a key concern, and the recent shift from US$85 million to US$99 million LTM profit at Q1 and Q2 2025, then to a US$309 million loss at Q3 2025, gives them concrete numbers to support the idea that the current multiple may be hard to justify if earnings stay volatile.
- Bears highlight that the company is currently unprofitable on a trailing basis despite LTM revenue holding around US$1.0b, which means the 1.4x P/S is not being supported by positive earnings in this data.
- The pattern of quarterly net income moving from US$35 million in Q1 2025 and US$27 million in Q2 2025 to a loss of US$387 million in Q3 2025 also backs the argument that profitability can change quickly while the market is paying above peer P/S levels.
If you are weighing whether that 1.4x P/S premium is justified by future potential, it helps to see how skeptics frame the risk that earnings remain choppy while the market keeps paying a higher multiple. 🐻 GCI Liberty Bear Case
DCF fair value US$152.34 vs US$37.88 price
- The DCF fair value in the data is US$152.34 per share while the current share price is US$37.88, which implies the stock is trading about 75.1% below that modelled fair value even though the latest LTM net result is a loss of US$309 million.
- What is interesting in the prevailing narrative is how a large DCF gap sits alongside the premium 1.4x P/S multiple and the current LTM loss, so investors who lean optimistic on long term cash flows point to the US$152.34 DCF figure while others focus on the recent move from LTM profit of US$99 million to a loss of US$309 million as a reminder that the path to those cash flows in the model involves real earnings volatility.
- The analysis linking a 6.58% forecast earnings growth rate to that DCF fair value uses a much more positive earnings path than the recent trailing figures, which show a Basic EPS loss of US$10.77 LTM at Q3 2025.
- At the same time, the share price of US$
Next Steps
To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for GCI Liberty on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.
See the numbers differently? Take a fresh look at the figures, shape your own view in a few minutes, and then put it into a personalised narrative with Do it your way
A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding GCI Liberty.
See What Else Is Out There
GCI Liberty's sharp move from a US$99 million LTM profit to a US$309 million LTM loss, alongside a premium 1.4x P/S, puts its earnings stability and risk profile under pressure.
If those swings make you want steadier fundamentals, take a few minutes to compare this story with 84 resilient stocks with low risk scores that aim to limit surprises when earnings jump around.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
