Is Evergy (EVRG) Undervalued As Data Center Growth And New Debt Reshape Its Outlook?
Evergy, Inc. EVRG | 0.00 |
Evergy (EVRG) is back in focus after reshaping its capital structure. The company ended a US$500 million term loan and issued US$600 million of junior subordinated notes due 2057 with a 6.40% coupon.
Evergy’s latest debt move comes after a mixed run for the stock, with the share price down 6.62% over the past 30 days but showing an 11.40% year to date share price return and a 17.40% total shareholder return over the past year. This suggests that momentum has been building over a longer horizon, even as investors reassess risks and growth expectations around large planned capital investments.
Scan how Evergy’s funding shift compares with other utilities preparing for substantial grid and data center spending by reviewing the hand picked 38 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks in this space.
Evergy now carries a higher-cost, longer-dated layer of capital that supports its long investment plan but also introduces extra complexity for equity holders. At today’s price, does that trade-off still favour new buyers?
Most Popular Narrative: 10% Undervalued
Evergy’s most followed valuation narrative pegs fair value at $90.46, above the last close of $81.41. That gap hinges on a very specific growth and investment story.
Strong anticipated growth in electricity demand from large-scale data centers, advanced manufacturing (e.g., Panasonic's EV battery plant), and other commercial users is expected to drive substantial load increases in Evergy's service areas through 2029, supporting higher revenue and long-term earnings growth. Robust economic development pipeline (15+ GW), with advanced stages of customer agreements and significant financial commitments from large users, indicates continued customer and volume growth, which will expand rate base and drive above-average rate base and EPS growth over time.
Read the complete narrative..
Want to see what sits behind that fair value gap for Evergy? The narrative leans on steady load growth, richer margins, and a future earnings multiple that is anything but casual.
Result: Fair Value of $90.46 (UNDERVALUED)
However, Evergy’s story can change quickly if large customer projects ramp more slowly than expected, or if the planned US$2.8b equity funding proves more expensive.
Another View: Evergy And The SWS DCF Model
The consensus narrative around Evergy leans on a fair value of $90.46, but the SWS DCF model points in a different direction. On that cash flow view, Evergy’s estimate of future cash flow value sits at $61.24, while the stock trades at $81.41. This suggests it is priced above that model’s output. For an investor, the question is which set of assumptions feels more realistic.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Evergy for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 49 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Next Steps
With mixed signals across Evergy’s narratives and valuations, it makes sense to move quickly, review the numbers yourself, and weigh both the upside and the risks. To help frame that assessment in a balanced way, start with these 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs
Looking for more investment ideas beyond Evergy?
If you stop with Evergy, you risk missing other opportunities that fit your goals just as well. Broaden your watchlist so you are not relying on a single story.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
