Is It Time To Reassess CACI International (CACI) After Its Strong Multi‑Year Share Price Run?
CACI International Inc Class A CACI | 0.00 |
- For investors considering whether CACI International at around US$513.51 offers reasonable value or is demanding too high a price, this article explores what the current share price might be indicating.
- The stock is flat over the last 30 days, up 2.4% over the past week, and has returned 20.0% over 1 year, 66.7% over 3 years, and 98.2% over 5 years. These medium and longer term moves may already be shaping expectations.
- Recent coverage has focused on CACI International's position in professional services and government contracting, as investors reassess how that profile fits into their portfolios. This context helps explain why the share price performance over 1, 3 and 5 years has attracted fresh attention to what might constitute a fair valuation today.
- CACI International currently scores 4 out of 6 on Simply Wall St's valuation checks, as shown by its valuation score. The rest of this article will walk through what that means using different valuation methods and then finish with a broader way to think about what the stock might be worth.
Approach 1: CACI International Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a stock could be worth by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those amounts back to today, reflecting the time value of money and risk.
For CACI International, the model uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $586.24 million. Analyst and extrapolated projections used in the model range from $724.42 million in 2026 to $1,530.83 million in 2035, with $1,027 million projected for 2029. Simply Wall St notes that analysts typically provide forecasts for up to 5 years, and cash flows beyond that are extrapolated.
After discounting these projected cash flows, the model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of about $989.29 per share. Compared with the current share price of around $513.51, the DCF output suggests CACI International stock is 48.1% undervalued according to this methodology.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests CACI International is undervalued by 48.1%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 46 more high quality undervalued stocks.
Approach 2: CACI International Price vs Earnings
For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a useful way to link what you pay for the stock to the earnings the business is generating today. It quickly shows how many dollars investors are currently willing to pay for each dollar of earnings.
What counts as a "normal" P/E depends on how quickly earnings are expected to grow and how risky those earnings are. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk often lines up with a lower P/E.
CACI International is currently on a P/E of 21.13x. That sits above both the Professional Services industry average of 19.59x and the peer average of 19.18x, which suggests the stock trades at a higher earnings multiple than many comparable companies.
Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary "Fair Ratio" of 22.08x for CACI International. This metric aims to capture what P/E might make sense given the company’s earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk factors. Because it is tailored to the company, it can be more informative than a simple comparison with peers or the industry.
With the current P/E of 21.13x sitting slightly below the Fair Ratio of 22.08x, the stock screens as modestly undervalued on this metric.
Result: UNDERVALUED
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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your CACI International Narrative
Earlier the article mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Consider Narratives, which let you set out your own story for CACI International by linking assumptions about future revenue, earnings and margins to a Fair Value that you can compare directly with the current price. This is all available within an easy tool on Simply Wall St's Community page that updates automatically when new news, guidance or earnings are added. For example, one investor might build a narrative that lines up with a higher fair value near US$800, while another might prefer a more cautious story closer to US$567. Seeing those side by side helps you decide whether the current share price around US$513.51 fits the narrative you believe is most realistic.
Do you think there's more to the story for CACI International? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
