Is Roper Technologies (ROP) Offering Value After A 34% One Year Share Price Slump
Roper Technologies, Inc. ROP | 353.32 | -0.02% |
- Investors may be wondering whether Roper Technologies at around US$362.93 is offering value right now or simply trading at a premium price.
- The stock has gained 2.5% over the past week and 2.6% over the past month, yet is still showing a 16.5% decline year to date and a 33.7% decline over the past year.
- These moves have kept Roper Technologies on many watchlists, as investors assess whether recent price resilience marks the start of a recovery or a pause within a longer weak patch. Ongoing coverage of the stock has focused on how its current share price compares with different ways of estimating underlying worth.
- On Simply Wall St's valuation checklist, Roper Technologies scores a perfect 6 out of 6. The rest of this article explains what that score reflects across several valuation approaches and then outlines a framework that can help you interpret all of them together.
Approach 1: Roper Technologies Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
The Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company could be worth by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today using a required return. It is essentially a way of asking what all those future dollars are worth in current terms.
For Roper Technologies, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, based on free cash flow to shareholders. The latest twelve month free cash flow is about $2.42b. Analyst inputs and extrapolated estimates used in this model point to free cash flow reaching about $5.34b in 2035, with a path that includes $3.74b projected for 2029 and a series of intermediate years in between.
Discounting those projected cash flows back to today produces an estimated intrinsic value of about $627.79 per share. Compared with the current share price of around $362.93, this calculation implies a 42.2% discount, which suggests the shares screen as materially undervalued on this DCF view.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Roper Technologies is undervalued by 42.2%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 58 more high quality undervalued stocks.
Approach 2: Roper Technologies Price vs Earnings (P/E)
For a profitable company, the P/E ratio is a useful shorthand because it links what you pay for each share to the earnings that business is already generating. A higher or lower P/E often reflects what the market is willing to pay for those earnings, given expectations and perceived risk.
In simple terms, stronger expected growth and lower risk tend to justify a higher P/E, while slower expected growth or higher risk usually align with a lower P/E. So the question is not whether a P/E is high or low in isolation, but whether it is reasonable relative to those factors.
Roper Technologies currently trades at about 24.2x earnings, compared with the broader Software industry average of 30.6x and a peer group average of 36.4x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio model, which estimates what a P/E might be given the company’s earnings growth profile, margins, industry, market cap and risk, suggests a Fair Ratio of about 25.3x.
Because this Fair Ratio is slightly above the current P/E, the shares screen as modestly undervalued on this metric.
Result: UNDERVALUED
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Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Roper Technologies Narrative
Earlier there was a mention that there is an even better way to understand valuation. This is where Narratives come in as a simple way for you to write the story you believe about Roper Technologies, link that story to specific forecasts for revenue, earnings and margins, and then see the fair value that results from those assumptions alongside the current share price.
On Simply Wall St’s Community page, Narratives are set up so you can see how a company story connects to numbers, which then connect to a Fair Value that updates as new information such as news or earnings is added. That can make it easier to decide whether today’s price looks attractive, stretched or somewhere in between.
For Roper Technologies, one Narrative might look closer to the higher-end analyst view, with a Fair Value around US$694.00 that assumes revenue growing about 14.5% a year and a future P/E near 41.5x. Another sits near the lower end, with a Fair Value around US$419.00 based on revenue growth of about 11.1% and a future P/E near 25.1x. Comparing those different stories directly to the current share price can help you decide which one, if any, best matches your own expectations.
Do you think there's more to the story for Roper Technologies? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
