Middle East Specialized Cables' (TADAWUL:2370) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations
MESC 2370.SA | 0.00 |
Middle East Specialized Cables Company (TADAWUL:2370) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.
Examining Cashflow Against Middle East Specialized Cables' Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to March 2026, Middle East Specialized Cables had an accrual ratio of 0.29. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of ر.س115.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ر.س82m in the last year. We also note that Middle East Specialized Cables' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ر.س82m.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Middle East Specialized Cables.
Our Take On Middle East Specialized Cables' Profit Performance
Middle East Specialized Cables' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Middle East Specialized Cables' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Middle East Specialized Cables at this point in time.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Middle East Specialized Cables' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
