MPLX's Q1 adjusted EBITDA misses, hurt by derivatives impacts

MPLX LP

MPLX LP

MPLX

0.00


Overview

  • U.S. midstream energy operator's Q1 revenue and net income declined year-over-year

  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 missed analyst expectations

  • Company repurchased $50 mln in common units during the quarter


Outlook

  • MPLX expects Delaware Basin sour gas capacity to exceed 400 MMcf/d by year end

  • Company plans to bring Harmon Creek III processing plant into service in Q3 2026

  • MPLX expects cash flow to support 12.5% annual distribution growth for two more years


Result Drivers

  • DERIVATIVES, INTEREST, AND DEPRECIATION - Co said lower net income was primarily due to derivatives impacts, higher interest expense, the absence of a prior-year non-recurring benefit, and increased depreciation

  • SEGMENT MIX - Crude Oil and Products Logistics segment adjusted EBITDA rose on higher rates, partly offset by lower crude pipeline throughputs; Natural Gas and NGL Services segment fell due to absence of a prior-year non-recurring benefit, lower NGL prices, and higher operating expenses


Company press release: ID:nPnd2kCka


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q1 Revenue

$3.04 bln

Q1 Net Income

$912 mln

Q1 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

$1.73 bln

$1.75 bln (11 Analysts)

Q1 Income from Operations

$1.21 bln

Q1 Pretax Profit

$923 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 8 "strong buy" or "buy", 6 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the oil & gas transportation services peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for MPLX LP is $60.00, about 5% above its May 4 closing price of $57.17

  • The stock recently traded at 12 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 12 three months ago


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