Papa John's Q4 revenue falls 6% on refranchising impact

Papa John's International, Inc. -0.06%

Papa John's International, Inc.

PZZA

34.99

-0.06%


Overview

  • Pizza delivery chain's Q4 revenue fell 6%, missing analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q4 met analyst expectations

  • Company expects $25 mln in corporate cost savings through 2027


Outlook

  • Papa John's expects 2026 global system-wide sales to be flat to down low single-digits

  • Company anticipates North America comparable sales to decline 2% to 4% in 2026

  • Papa John's projects 2026 adjusted EBITDA between $200 mln and $210 mln


Result Drivers

  • REFRANCHISING IMPACT - Revenue decline attributed to refranchising of 85 Domestic Company-owned restaurants, now operated as franchised restaurants

  • INTERNATIONAL SALES GROWTH - International comparable sales increased 6%, contributing positively to system-wide sales

  • OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY - Initiatives expected to deliver $25 mln in corporate cost savings through 2027


Company press release: ID:nBw3p1qHFa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Miss

$498.18 mln

$515.002 mln (15 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Meet

$0.34

$0.34 (14 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$0.21

Q4 Net Income

$8.63 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 7 "strong buy" or "buy", 11 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the restaurants & bars peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Papa John's International Inc is $45.00, about 33% above its February 25 closing price of $33.83

  • The stock recently traded at 18 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 24 three months ago


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