Rayonier Q4 adjusted EPS eases past estimates

Rayonier Inc.

Rayonier Inc.

RYN

0.00


Overview

  • Land resources REIT's Q4 revenue and adjusted EPS beat analyst expectations

  • Company completed merger with PotlatchDeltic, forming a leading land resources REIT

  • Q4 adjusted EBITDA beat estimates, driven by core segment performance


Outlook

  • Rayonier expects Southern Timber harvest volumes of 12.1 to 12.6 mln tons in 2026

  • Company anticipates Northwest Timber log pricing to be higher in 2026

  • Rayonier forecasts Real Estate Adjusted EBITDA of $180 to $200 mln for 2026


Result Drivers

  • MERGER COSTS - Rayonier's Q4 results were affected by $6.3 mln in costs related to the merger with PotlatchDeltic

  • SOUTHERN TIMBER - Adjusted EBITDA fell 8% due to lower stumpage realizations and non-timber income, despite higher harvest volumes

  • REAL ESTATE SALES DROP - Real Estate segment sales and operating income fell sharply due to fewer acres sold and absence of large dispositions


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Beat

$117.50 mln

$110.06 mln (5 Analysts)

Q4 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$0.20

$0.11 (5 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$0.16

Q4 Adjusted Net Income

Beat

$32.10 mln

$18.84 mln (4 Analysts)

Q4 Net Income

$25.90 mln

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$61.70 mln

$55.35 mln (5 Analysts)

Q4 Operating Income

$27 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 1 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the specialized reits peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Rayonier Inc is $26.00, about 15.9% above its February 10 closing price of $22.43

  • The stock recently traded at 45 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 42 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nBw81hPfSa

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