Target Q1 sales beat estimates on broad-based growth

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Target Corporation

TGT

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Overview

  • US mass merchandiser's Q1 sales rose 6.7%, beating analyst expectations

  • Q1 net income exceeded analyst estimates; adjusted EPS rose 32% from prior-year adjusted figure

  • Company raised 2026 net sales growth outlook to around 4%


Outlook

  • Target sees 2026 net sales growth around 4%, up two points from prior range

  • Company expects 2026 operating income margin rate over 20 bps above 2025 adjusted margin

  • Target projects 2026 GAAP and Adjusted EPS near high end of $7.50-$8.50 range


Result Drivers

  • BROAD-BASED SALES GROWTH - Co said sales growth was strong across all merchandise categories, sales channels and throughout the quarter

  • DIGITAL SALES - Digital comparable sales grew 8.9%, led by more than 27% growth in same-day delivery powered by Target Circle 360

  • NON-MERCHANDISE REVENUE - Non-merchandise sales grew nearly 25%, reflecting strong growth in Roundel ad revenue, Target Circle 360 membership revenue, and the Target+ marketplace


Company press release: ID:nPnbnRW3da


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q1 Sales

Beat

$25.44 bln

$24.64 bln (27 Analysts)

Q1 Adjusted EPS

$1.71

Q1 EPS

$1.71

Q1 Net Income

Beat

$781 mln

$665.16 mln (24 Analysts)

Q1 Gross Margin

29.00%


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 12 "strong buy" or "buy", 24 "hold" and 3 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the discount stores peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Target Corp is $126.00, about 1% above its May 19 closing price of $127.24

  • The stock recently traded at 15 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 14 three months ago


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