UBP says equity rally broadens beyond tech as Fed, ECB pause case strengthens

  • Union Bancaire Privee flagged a risk-supportive backdrop as cooling US jobs growth and easing eurozone inflation strengthen the case for a prolonged Fed-ECB pause.
  • Global equities gained; MSCI ACWI +2%, STOXX Europe 600 +2.7%, S&P 500 +1.8%, with leadership rotating from tech into European cyclicals.
  • Semiconductors stayed volatile; global semiconductor equities fell 2.5%, with profit-taking in memory-chip makers despite intact fundamentals.
  • Developed curves steepened; US 10-year yield rose 11 bps to 4.48%, Bund 10-year up 8 bps to 2.94%, as long-end yields led.
  • Credit rewarded carry; IG issuance hit a June record of USD 200 billion, lifting first-half supply to a record USD 1.2 trillion.


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