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1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FLWS) 25% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. Class A FLWS | 3.28 | 0.00% |
1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. (NASDAQ:FLWS) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think 1-800-FLOWERS.COM's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Specialty Retail industry is similar at about 0.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Has 1-800-FLOWERS.COM Performed Recently?
1-800-FLOWERS.COM hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on 1-800-FLOWERS.COM will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is 1-800-FLOWERS.COM's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, 1-800-FLOWERS.COM would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.8% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 26% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.6% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 7.4%, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that 1-800-FLOWERS.COM's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From 1-800-FLOWERS.COM's P/S?
1-800-FLOWERS.COM's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our check of 1-800-FLOWERS.COM's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.
COM you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


