What Par Pacific Holdings investors can take from the latest moves

Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) has been drawing attention after recent trading, with the share price last closing at $41.41. For context, the stock shows mixed returns over the past week, month, and past 3 months.

The company reports revenue of US$7,483.631 and net income of US$235.996, with both revenue and net income growth running below zero on an annual basis. That backdrop, combined with a value score of 5, gives investors a starting point for thinking about how the market is currently treating the stock.

Recent trading paints a mixed picture, with a 10.99% 1 month share price return and a 15.61% year to date share price return set against a 5.46% 3 month share price decline, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 166.13% stands out.

If this kind of move in an energy refiner has your attention, it could be a good moment to see what else is out there through our list of 86 nuclear energy infrastructure stocks.

With revenue and net income growth currently running below zero and the stock trading around a reported intrinsic discount of roughly 53%, the key question is simple: is Par Pacific undervalued here, or is the market already pricing in future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 12.6% Undervalued

Par Pacific Holdings' most followed narrative places fair value at $47.38 versus the last close at $41.41. This frames a valuation gap that hinges on future earnings power and cash flows.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $31.5 for Par Pacific Holdings based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $39.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $23.0.

Want to understand why the fair value sits comfortably above those targets? The narrative leans heavily on margin resilience, earnings rebuild, and a tighter share count. Curious which forecasts do the heavy lifting in that calculation?

Result: Fair Value of $47.38 (UNDERVALUED)

However, there are still real swing factors here, including older refinery assets that can drive costly outages and high leverage that can tighten flexibility if conditions turn.

Build Your Own Par Pacific Holdings Narrative

If you look at the numbers and reach a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own view against the data, you can build a custom thesis in just a few minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Par Pacific Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

If you are weighing what to do next after looking at Par Pacific, do not stop here. Give yourself more options by scanning a wider opportunity set.

• Spot potential mispricings early by reviewing our list of 55 high quality undervalued stocks, built from companies with solid fundamentals and attractive pricing signals.
• Prioritize resilience by checking out 85 resilient stocks with low risk scores, highlighting companies that score well on financial strength and measured risk indicators.
• Go hunting for lesser known opportunities through our screener containing 23 high quality undiscovered gems, where smaller names with strong data profiles might otherwise slip past your watchlist.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.