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BUZZ-French aerospace & defence: Barclays likes stocks with lower defence budget risk
AAR CORP. AIR | 81.49 81.49 | -1.48% 0.00% Pre |
GE Aerospace GE | 298.73 298.67 | -0.75% -0.02% Pre |
Dow Jones Industrial Average DJI | 48114.26 | -0.62% |
S&P 500 index SPX | 6800.26 | -0.24% |
NASDAQ IXIC | 23111.46 | +0.23% |
** Amid the French election uncertainty, Barclays says it prefers aerospace and defence companies that have limited exposure to the country's defence budget
** "While we are positive on the European defence budget outlook over the next few years, we think the stocks with exposure largely reflect this," it says
** It cuts Thales TCFP.PA to "underweight" from "equal weight" with PT of 167 euros, citing lower upside than peers and higher exposure to the budget
** It says investors should be looking to take advantage of "France-related weakness" to buy more Airbus AIR.PA and Safran SAF.PA shares (both "overweight"), as fundamentals of the commercial aerospace sector remain strong
** It cuts Airbus's PT by 5% to 191 euros on production constraints, but says the company has greater EBIT potential than peers
** Safran could trade sideways in the short term given the lack of Q2 earnings momentum, it says, noting U.S peer GE GE.N is a safer bet amid French political turmoil
** "That said, the de-coupling of Safran and GE stock prices since April 2024 ... offers an interesting entry-point for the former" - Barclays
** In May, before the snap election was announced, a defence ministry spokesman said France was considering cutting defence spending
(Reporting by Olivier Sorgho)
((Olivier.Sorgho@thomsonreuters.com))


