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BUZZ-FX options wrap - billions, value, GBP call, intervention, ZAR
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Trader option data from DTCC shows 12.5 billion euros of EUR/USD FX options, most around 1.0900, expiring on Monday and Tuesday, so no surprise to see a limited EUR/USD spot range around this level.
Quite a busy data week which includes a European central bank policy announcement could increase volatility and add value to shorter-dated expiry EUR/USD options, where 1-week expiry implied volatility is currently trading lows since May. Benchmark 1-month is back at 5.1 from 3-year lows at 4.9 last week.
GBP-related FX options have seen demand for GBP calls increase over recent sessions, especially in GBP/USD and EUR/GBP. That demand has helped 1-month expiry GBP/USD implied volatility back above 6.0 after testing post-Brexit lows at 5.5 last week.
USD/JPY options retain a higher risk premium for downside strike options with demand for JPY calls having seemingly increased too. This price action shows a greater perceived fear of more intervention following last week's action.
USD/ZAR FX option implied volatility and its topside over downside strike premium on risk reversals has been under strong selling pressure - returning it to pre-election levels. It shows traders expect lower FX realised volatility within smaller ranges and are not ruling out the chance of more ZAR gains.
For more click on FXBUZ
(Richard Pace is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
((Richard.Pace@Thomsonreuters.com))


