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Investors Give LifeVantage Corporation (NASDAQ:LFVN) Shares A 26% Hiding
LifeVantage Corporation LFVN | 4.68 | +0.21% |
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the LifeVantage Corporation (NASDAQ:LFVN) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 76% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, LifeVantage may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for LifeVantage as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
How Is LifeVantage's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like LifeVantage's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.6% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 26% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 12% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that LifeVantage is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Shares in LifeVantage have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of LifeVantage's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks.
You might be able to find a better investment than LifeVantage.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


