Is Weakness In PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE:PBF) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

PBF Energy, Inc. Class A +0.62%

PBF Energy, Inc. Class A

PBF

38.75

+0.62%

It is hard to get excited after looking at PBF Energy's (NYSE:PBF) recent performance, when its stock has declined 20% over the past month. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on PBF Energy's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for PBF Energy is:

29% = US$1.9b ÷ US$6.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.29.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of PBF Energy's Earnings Growth And 29% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that PBF Energy has a significantly high ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 18% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. As a result, PBF Energy's exceptional 60% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.

We then compared PBF Energy's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 38% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:PBF Past Earnings Growth May 30th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is PBF fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is PBF Energy Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

PBF Energy's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 3.0% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (97%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Moreover, PBF Energy is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 33% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected increase in the payout ratio explains the expected decline in the company's ROE to 3.3%, over the same period.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with PBF Energy's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Every question you ask will be answered
Scan the QR code to contact us
whatsapp
Also you can contact us via