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MaxLinear (MXL) Is Down 5.7% After Narrower Q4 Loss And New Buyback Plan - Has The Bull Case Changed?
MaxLinear, Inc. MXL | 18.47 | +1.26% |
- MaxLinear, Inc. recently reported its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with Q4 sales rising to US$136.44 million and net loss narrowing to US$14.9 million, alongside full-year sales of US$467.64 million and a reduced annual net loss of US$136.68 million.
- The company coupled this with guidance for first-quarter 2026 revenue of US$130 million to US$140 million, an expanded US$75 million buyback program and US$20 million of Q4 repurchases, underscoring management’s confidence as infrastructure products gain traction.
- We’ll now examine how the infrastructure-led growth story and improving loss profile shape MaxLinear’s investment narrative following this earnings update.
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What Is MaxLinear's Investment Narrative?
For MaxLinear to make sense in a portfolio, you really have to buy into the idea that its infrastructure franchise can eventually carry the rest of the business, even while the company is still loss making. The latest earnings reinforce that story: infrastructure revenue is scaling quickly, losses are narrowing, and management is confident enough to guide Q1 2026 sales at US$130–140 million while actively deploying a US$75 million buyback program, including US$20 million of repurchases in Q4. That mix of top line progress and capital returns adds weight to earlier views that the shares may trade below fair value, but it also sharpens the key risks. The company is not expected to reach profitability in the next few years, broadband is facing a softer patch, and high CEO pay and ongoing losses could become pressure points if the infrastructure ramp slows or margins do not improve as planned.
However, one risk around profitability expectations is something investors should be very aware of. Despite retreating, MaxLinear's shares might still be trading 20% above their fair value. Discover the potential downside here.Exploring Other Perspectives
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on MaxLinear - why the stock might be worth as much as 59% more than the current price!
Build Your Own MaxLinear Narrative
Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
- A great starting point for your MaxLinear research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
- Our free MaxLinear research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate MaxLinear's overall financial health at a glance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


