Nutanix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NTNX) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Nutanix, Inc. Class A +1.07% Post

Nutanix, Inc. Class A

NTNX

48.27

48.27

+1.07%

0.00% Post

Nutanix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NTNX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.8x and even P/S below 1.7x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:NTNX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 30th 2024

What Does Nutanix's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Nutanix's and the industry's revenue growth lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to improve, justifying the currently elevated P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Nutanix.

How Is Nutanix's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Nutanix's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 15% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 54% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 20% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it concerning that Nutanix is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Nutanix, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

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