Nutanix (NTNX) Is Down 14.5% After Revenue Deferral And Outlook Cut Has The Bull Case Changed?

Nutanix, Inc. Class A -3.58%

Nutanix, Inc. Class A

NTNX

39.84

-3.58%

  • Nutanix recently faced intensified scrutiny as multiple law firms launched investigations into potential securities law violations following its Q1 2026 results, where the company disclosed a revenue shift to future periods and reduced its full-year revenue outlook.
  • At the same time, a wave of analyst rating changes from major banks signaled a reassessment of Nutanix’s prospects just as investors focus on its upcoming conference appearance and earnings report.
  • We’ll now examine how these investor investigations and cautious analyst reactions could influence Nutanix’s existing investment narrative and long-term appeal.

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Nutanix Investment Narrative Recap

To own Nutanix, you have to believe its hybrid and multi cloud platform can keep winning enterprise workloads despite pressure from hyperscale public clouds and traditional IT vendors. The recent revenue shift, lowered outlook and stock drop have heightened near term focus on execution and demand visibility, while the biggest immediate risk is that slowing expansion within existing customers and pricing pressure could make Nutanix’s growth and profitability less predictable.

The wave of analyst downgrades and price target cuts following Q1 2026, alongside the new law firm investigations, is the most relevant development here because it directly challenges the prior consensus that Nutanix’s recurring revenue model and secular hybrid cloud adoption would be near term supports for the stock. How management addresses these concerns at the upcoming Needham Growth Conference and in future earnings updates may shape how much weight investors put on those earlier catalysts.

But even if Nutanix executes on hybrid cloud growth, investors should still be aware of the risk that...

Nutanix's narrative projects $3.9 billion revenue and $513.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 15.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $324.6 million earnings increase from $188.4 million today.

Uncover how Nutanix's forecasts yield a $70.70 fair value, a 55% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NTNX 1-Year Stock Price Chart
NTNX 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Eight members of the Simply Wall St Community now value Nutanix between US$32.34 and US$118.13 per share, reflecting very different expectations. You can weigh those views against the risk that slower expansion within existing customers and pricing pressure could make Nutanix’s growth and margins less consistent over time, and explore how that might influence your own expectations for the business.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Nutanix - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Nutanix Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Nutanix research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Nutanix research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Nutanix's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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