Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) stock is currently in Phase 16 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle on the weekly charts and is navigating what is known as the triad formation. So far, the stock's structure within this window does not look encouraging. A closer look at the triads helps explain why the risk-reward profile is becoming increasingly skewed.

Analysing Qorvo Stock's Triad Formation

Qorvo is now in Phase 16, placing it squarely within the Guna Triads. Under the Adhishthana framework, Phases 14, 15, and 16 together form the Guna Triads.

These phases determine whether a stock can achieve a Nirvana move in Phase 18, the peak of the cycle. For such a move to materialise, the triads must display Satoguna, a clean, sustainable bullish structure. Without it, no Nirvana can emerge.

As I outlined in Adhishthana: The Principles That Govern Wealth, Time & Tragedy:

"Without noticeable Satoguna in any of the triads, no Nirvana can emerge in Phase 18."

In Qorvo's case, the stock entered Phase 14, the start of its triad formation, on December 30, 2024. Since then, the price structure has remained underwhelming. There have been no clear directional bullish signals, and the Satoguna required to support a potential Nirvana move in Phase 18 is notably absent.

While the stock is still in Phase 16 and the triad formation has not fully concluded, the current phase has also failed to show any constructive strength. Phase 16 is expected to run until May 2026, leaving limited time for the structure to meaningfully improve.

Investor Outlook

With a weak triad formation unfolding, Qorvo's longer-term outlook remains unconvincing. While short-term rallies may still occur in Phase 17, the broader structure does not support a sustained bullish outcome.

Phase 18, the final and longest phase of the cycle, is therefore more likely to bring disappointment rather than a decisive upside move. The stock has already been underperforming since August 2021, when it broke its Cakra formation in Phase 9, an event that initially highlighted the underlying risks. Since that breakdown, QRVO has continued to trade with a negative bias, a trend that is likely to persist into its final phase.

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