The Bull Case For Dow (DOW) Could Change Following Class Action Over Macroeconomic Risk Disclosures

Dow Chemical Company -2.48%

Dow Chemical Company

DOW

23.97

-2.48%

  • In recent days, Dow Inc. became the subject of a pending class action lawsuit with a lead plaintiff deadline of October 28, 2025, alleging it made materially false or misleading statements and failed to disclose macroeconomic and tariff-related risks impacting its business and financial condition.
  • This legal development has intensified shareholder focus on Dow, highlighting concerns about transparency and the company’s communication around external economic pressures.
  • We'll examine how the heightened legal scrutiny from the class action filing could impact Dow's investment outlook and financial flexibility.

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Dow Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Dow shareholder, you need confidence in the company’s ability to optimize its portfolio, keep costs in check, and manage external pressures like energy prices and trade tariffs. The recent class action lawsuit alleging disclosure failures does increase legal risk, but there is currently no clear evidence that it materially affects Dow’s most significant short-term catalyst: the pursuit of higher operational efficiency and cost reductions. However, it amplifies an existing key risk, uncertainty from macroeconomic and regulatory headwinds.

Recently, Dow announced the shutdown of three upstream assets in Europe and the expansion of its strategic review in that region. While not directly triggered by the lawsuit, this move remains relevant, as it supports ongoing efforts to optimize returns and focus on the company's most resilient operations, an important counter to margin pressures and regulatory risks in international markets.

Still, investors should also be aware that, despite cost-saving actions, the legal uncertainties around disclosure and transparency could...

Dow's outlook anticipates $43.6 billion in revenue and $1.5 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes 1.4% annual revenue growth and a $2.5 billion earnings increase from current earnings of -$994.0 million.

Uncover how Dow's forecasts yield a $28.24 fair value, a 25% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

DOW Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
DOW Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Fair value estimates from 11 Simply Wall St Community members range from US$20 to over US$41. With margin pressure and regulatory headwinds already a concern, now is a good time to compare how your view aligns with this wide spectrum of market opinions.

Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Dow - why the stock might be worth 11% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Dow Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Dow research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Dow research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Dow's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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