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What Littelfuse, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LFUS) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Littelfuse, Inc. LFUS | 370.33 | +1.94% |
Littelfuse, Inc. (NASDAQ:LFUS) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 44%.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Littelfuse's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Electronic industry is similar at about 3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Littelfuse Has Been Performing
Littelfuse could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Littelfuse will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Littelfuse?
Littelfuse's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.9%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 5.1% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.9% per annum as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 14% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Littelfuse's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Littelfuse's P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Littelfuse's P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
When you consider that Littelfuse's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
You should always think about risks.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


