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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Otter Tail Corporation's (NASDAQ:OTTR) Low P/E
Otter Tail Corporation OTTR | 84.95 | -1.91% |
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may consider Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ:OTTR) as an attractive investment with its 13.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Otter Tail hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Otter Tail's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.6%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 5.8% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 12% each year as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.
With this information, we are not surprised that Otter Tail is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On Otter Tail's P/E
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Otter Tail maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Otter Tail. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


