• In February 2026, Molson Coors Beverage released its 2025 fourth-quarter and full-year results and outlined its 2026 medium-term outlook at the CAGNY Conference, opting not to hold a separate quarterly earnings call.
• At the same time, analysts highlighted shrinking unit sales, margin pressure from higher expenses, and a reliance on pricing and brand extensions to sustain Molson Coors’ position as a slower-growth but income-focused consumer staples name.
• We’ll now examine how concerns over shrinking unit sales and margin pressure could shape Molson Coors’ existing investment narrative and outlook.

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Molson Coors Beverage Investment Narrative Recap

To own Molson Coors today, you have to be comfortable with a slower-moving, income-oriented beverage company that is working through weak volumes and margin pressure. The February 2026 results and CAGNY outlook are unlikely to change the near term focus on stabilizing unit sales and protecting profitability, while the biggest current risk remains further erosion in beer demand and returns if volume declines persist.

The upcoming 2025 full year release and 2026 medium term outlook at CAGNY matter most because they directly address the recent pattern of shrinking volumes and higher expenses. With analysts already pointing to weaker operating margins and negative returns on capital, what management says about cost discipline, brand extensions and pricing power will be central to how investors reassess both the income story and the risk that margins stay under pressure.

Yet beneath Molson Coors’ “boring but safe” reputation, investors should be aware of the growing risk that sustained volume declines and rising costs could...

Molson Coors Beverage's narrative projects $11.5 billion revenue and $1.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires a 0.6% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of about $0.1 billion from $1.0 billion today.

Uncover how Molson Coors Beverage's forecasts yield a $50.81 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Nine fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$44 to US$153 per share, showing just how far apart individual views can be. Against this wide range, concerns about shrinking unit sales and margin pressure are a reminder that understanding the underlying drivers of Molson Coors’ returns may matter as much as the headline valuation, and readers may want to explore several alternative viewpoints before deciding how this stock fits their portfolio.

Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Molson Coors Beverage - why the stock might be worth 9% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Molson Coors Beverage Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your Molson Coors Beverage research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free Molson Coors Beverage research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Molson Coors Beverage's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.