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Don't Buy LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks
LyondellBasell Industries NV LYB | 44.39 | -1.60% |
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. In other words, investors can purchase LyondellBasell Industries' shares before the 3rd of June in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 10th of June.
The company's next dividend payment will be US$1.34 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of US$5.00 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, LyondellBasell Industries has a trailing yield of approximately 5.1% on its current stock price of US$98.71. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! As a result, readers should always check whether LyondellBasell Industries has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.
View our latest analysis for LyondellBasell Industries
Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Its dividend payout ratio is 77% of profit, which means the company is paying out a majority of its earnings. The relatively limited profit reinvestment could slow the rate of future earnings growth. We'd be worried about the risk of a drop in earnings. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether LyondellBasell Industries generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Dividends consumed 61% of the company's free cash flow last year, which is within a normal range for most dividend-paying organisations.
It's positive to see that LyondellBasell Industries's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. With that in mind, we're discomforted by LyondellBasell Industries's 12% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.
Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, LyondellBasell Industries has lifted its dividend by approximately 9.6% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. LyondellBasell Industries is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.
Final Takeaway
Should investors buy LyondellBasell Industries for the upcoming dividend? While earnings per share are shrinking, it's encouraging to see that at least LyondellBasell Industries's dividend appears sustainable, with earnings and cashflow payout ratios that are within reasonable bounds. It's not that we think LyondellBasell Industries is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.
With that being said, if you're still considering LyondellBasell Industries as an investment, you'll find it beneficial to know what risks this stock is facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with LyondellBasell Industries and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


