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HealthStream, Inc. (NASDAQ:HSTM) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
HealthStream, Inc. HSTM | 20.35 | +0.74% |
HealthStream, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:HSTM) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.8x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 19x and even P/E's below 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
HealthStream could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
How Is HealthStream's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, HealthStream would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.5% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 133% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.5% during the coming year according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 16%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it concerning that HealthStream is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On HealthStream's P/E
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of HealthStream's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware HealthStream is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of HealthStream's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


