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Market Participants Recognise Argan, Inc.'s (NYSE:AGX) Earnings Pushing Shares 34% Higher
Argan, Inc. AGX | 319.91 | -3.23% |
Despite an already strong run, Argan, Inc. (NYSE:AGX) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 193% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
Following the firm bounce in price, Argan's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 17x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Argan has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
How Is Argan's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Argan would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 162% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 157% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% per annum as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Argan's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has got Argan's P/E rushing to great heights as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Argan maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Argan is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Argan. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


