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NovoCure Limited's (NASDAQ:NVCR) 26% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
NovoCure Ltd. NVCR | 11.36 | -0.26% |
NovoCure Limited (NASDAQ:NVCR) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, NovoCure may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.9x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does NovoCure's Recent Performance Look Like?
NovoCure's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on NovoCure.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, NovoCure would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 11%. The latest three year period has also seen a 18% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 124% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that NovoCure's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
The southerly movements of NovoCure's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As expected, our analysis of NovoCure's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware NovoCure is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


