Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As LiveWire Group, Inc. (NYSE:LVWR) Shares Dive 29%

LiveWire -7.77%

LiveWire

LVWR

2.73

-7.77%

LiveWire Group, Inc. (NYSE:LVWR) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking LiveWire Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 25.4x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Auto industry have P/S ratios below 0.6x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LVWR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 9th 2026

What Does LiveWire Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, LiveWire Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for LiveWire Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as LiveWire Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 19%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 50% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 9.2% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that LiveWire Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From LiveWire Group's P/S?

Even after such a strong price drop, LiveWire Group's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that LiveWire Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

If you're unsure about the strength of LiveWire Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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