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Rubrik, Inc. (NYSE:RBRK) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely
Rubrik, Inc. Class A RBRK | 50.20 | -7.31% |
The Rubrik, Inc. (NYSE:RBRK) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 22% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Rubrik may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.7x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.4x and even P/S lower than 1.9x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Rubrik Has Been Performing
Rubrik certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Rubrik will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Rubrik?
Rubrik's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 49% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 99% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 32% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Rubrik's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Rubrik's P/S Mean For Investors?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Rubrik's very lofty P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Rubrik, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
If you're unsure about the strength of Rubrik's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


