Tabuk Agricultural Development Company's (TADAWUL:6040) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

TADCO -0.33%

TADCO

6040.SA

11.98

-0.33%

When close to half the companies in the Food industry in Saudi Arabia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.9x, you may consider Tabuk Agricultural Development Company (TADAWUL:6040) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SASE:6040 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 7th 2025

What Does Tabuk Agricultural Development's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Tabuk Agricultural Development over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tabuk Agricultural Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Tabuk Agricultural Development's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 64%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 65% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 6.6% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Tabuk Agricultural Development's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Tabuk Agricultural Development revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Tabuk Agricultural Development .

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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