We Think AptarGroup (NYSE:ATR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Aptargroup, Inc. +0.41%

Aptargroup, Inc.

ATR

122.83

+0.41%

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that AptarGroup, Inc. (NYSE:ATR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for AptarGroup

What Is AptarGroup's Debt?

As you can see below, AptarGroup had US$1.16b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$151.6m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.01b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ATR Debt to Equity History December 12th 2023

How Healthy Is AptarGroup's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AptarGroup had liabilities of US$1.23b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$852.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$151.6m as well as receivables valued at US$737.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.20b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, AptarGroup has a market capitalization of US$8.39b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

AptarGroup's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.5 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 11.4 times, makes us even more comfortable. Also good is that AptarGroup grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if AptarGroup can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, AptarGroup recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, AptarGroup's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that AptarGroup can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with AptarGroup .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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