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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PHAT) 27% Share Price Plunge
Phathom Pharmaceuticals PHAT | 15.24 15.20 | +3.74% -0.26% Pre |
Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:PHAT) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 27% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Phathom Pharmaceuticals may still be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.8x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 5.4x and even P/S lower than 1.3x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does Phathom Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Phathom Pharmaceuticals certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Phathom Pharmaceuticals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Phathom Pharmaceuticals' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. In spite of this unbelievable short-term growth, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 93% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 18% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Phathom Pharmaceuticals' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Phathom Pharmaceuticals' P/S?
Despite the recent share price weakness, Phathom Pharmaceuticals' P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Phathom Pharmaceuticals maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Pharmaceuticals industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Don't forget that there may be other risks.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.


