10x Genomics, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXG) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
10x Genomics TXG | 22.33 | +1.27% |
Despite an already strong run, 10x Genomics, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 51%.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Life Sciences industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may consider 10x Genomics as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How 10x Genomics Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for 10x Genomics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on 10x Genomics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as 10x Genomics' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 27% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.9% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 6.5% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it concerning that 10x Genomics is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
10x Genomics shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've concluded that 10x Genomics currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware 10x Genomics is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
